Oct 28, 2008

Obama's Third Party Plans

With polls and some other indicators showing an increased possibility that McCain-Palin will win this election, there is also an increased risk that, come Wendesday next week, Conservatives will sigh with relief and forget about Obama. That would be a grave mistake. Obama will have hundreds of millions of dollars in campaign cash that he has not spent, and will certainly continue to raise large amounts.

Obama's cash on hand will not be available for the Democrat party to tap in to. It will be Obama's own political war chest. He is going to use it to create his own party within the Democrat party. Knowing that every presidential candidate who loses an election runs a big risk of becoming history, Obama will strenuously fight to stay in the political spotlight. He will build a political base by supporting his allies for offices in local governments, state legislatures and even for Congress. Then he will run again in 2012, with an even stronger organization behind him.

The big question is how the Democrat party responds to this. They can discard him and reduce him to another Kerry, which would mean that they would try to re-direct the party in a more moderate, centrist direction. That would leave the left flank of the party wide open for Obama's "third party" structure within the DNC. That will cause rising tensions in the Democrat party, especially in the midterm elections in 201o.

They can also choose to stick with Obama. In that case the Obama "third party" structure will become the core of the Democrat party. That would permanently park the Democrat party way out to the left. Should that happen there will likely be a drainage of moderate Democrats in to the Republican party.

Either way, Obama will remain a strong, radical force on the left in American politics. He is a man who keeps grudges, which makes him even more dangerous as president, should he lose this election and win in 2012.

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